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commodity

Page history last edited by Brian D Butler 13 years, 8 months ago

Commodities followed by GloboTrends:

 

  1. oil prices
  2. mining and metals
  3. coffee industry
  4. sugar
  5. natural gas
  6. coal
  7. steel industry
  8. gold
  9. cocoa (chocolate)
  10. more...see below...

 

 

 

 

Table of Contents


 

Types of Commodities:

 

Hards - aluminium, copper, gold, lead, nickel, steel, tin, zinc, crude oil, coal, natural gas and natural rubber

Softs - cocoa, coffee, tea, palm oil, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, sunflowerseed oil, cotton, wool, rice, maize, wheat, and sugar

 

 

Hedging and Speculating:

see our GloboTrends pages on hedging and speculating

 

 

Commodity index:

 

Commodities as measured by the S&P GSCI index have gained 1 percent this year, after slumping 43 percent in 2008, the worst rout ever. A simultaneous recession in the U.S., Europe and Japan, plus an economic slowdown in China, sapped demand for energy and metals. 

 

 

 

 

Other Commodites indexes:

CRY:IND   REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB IX      http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CRY%3AIND

 

 

 

 

 

Commodities as Leading-Indicators:

 

  • Copper: 3rd most heavily-used metal. it is cheap and heavy, making storage inefficient...any copper bought is used relatively quickly. when the price rises, it is almost always because of a construction or infrastructure boom. it is mined and refined all over the world and is used all over the world.
  • Cement: basically all the same reasons as above, provides good check for copper
  • Rice: grown in several regions and consumed in most regions...only setback is that it is a staple of many Asian diets, so it skews the consumption...usually a great indicator of other agricultural commodities and tends to "lead the pack."
  • Soy: similar to rice...good to use as a check...also, heavily used in animal feed

     

  • see also: economic indicator

 

 

Australia:

 

Australia

 

 

 

 

 

Links from GloboTrends

 

 

 

Index's to track commodities:

Reuters-CRB Index

 

more:

A

C

D

D cont.

R

R cont.

S

 

 

Commodity businesses

 

Natural resources, standardized products,

 

low margin, high volume businesses with lots of competition!

 

 

 

 

 

Concepts to consider

(external links)

 

Comapny iconAluminum Prices - At roughly 1/3 the weight of an equivalent volume of steel, aluminum is lightweight yet strong enough for a wide range of uses. It is a good conductor of heat and... read more
| Related: EADS NV (EADSY), ALCAN (AL), Alcoa (AA)
Comapny iconBeef Prices (US) - Estimated to be worth more than $70 billion retail, the US beef industry affects a number of companies. Beef prices depends in part on the availability/pricing of cattle... read more
Comapny iconCommoditization of PCs - Over the last few decades, PCs have become an increasingly important part of our daily domestic and work lives. PCs are used for tasks ranging from rudimentary email... read more
Comapny iconCorn Prices - Corn is the most widely produced feed grain in the United States, accounting for more than 90 percent of total production. Around 80 million acres of land are planted with corn.... read more
Comapny iconGrains Prices - Grains is a blanket term describing the edible seeds or fruits of a variety of different grasses. The most commonly cultivated grains include maize (corn), wheat, rice, barley,... read more
Comapny iconNatural gas - Natural gas pipeline, photo courtesy of FERC Remember when your mom used to remind you to "sniff for gas" before leaving the house? While safety was (hopefully!) her main concern... read more
| Related: BP (BP), ChevronTexaco (CVX), Coal Power
Comapny iconOil Prices - Few inputs impact the U.S. economy as much as the price of oil. Oil powers the cars, trucks, and airplanes that transport people and products for the entire economy. As oil prices... read more
| Related: OPEC, 3M Company (MMM), Alcoa (AA)
Comapny iconSemiconductor Cyclicality - Semiconductors are the building blocks (used to make integrated circuits/computer chips, flash memory) of most all consumer electronics, including PCs, mobile phones,... read more
Comapny iconSteel Prices - As a result of its strength, Steel is is a major input in the construction, shipbuilding, and automobile industries. China has been a major force in the steel industry. Chinese... read more
Comapny iconTimber Prices - Timber, or trees cultivated and harvested for commercial purposes, is used in a wide range of industries. Timber's end products are among the most basic yet widely used goods... read more
Comapny iconTomato Prices - Tomatoes prices have followed in the footsteps of many other foodstock commodities such as wheat and corn for many of the same reasons: increasing prices for energy,... read more
Comapny iconUranium Prices - Uranium is a compound whose only commercial use is to fuel nuclear power plants. Nuclear power has accounted for about 15% of the world's electricity in recent... read more
Comapny iconWheat Prices - Wheat is a commodity input that goes into many food products, from pasta to bread to baked sweets. Wheat futures on Chicago's commodities exchange more than doubled in September... read more

 

 

 

 

Nickel

http://www.lme.co.uk/nickel_industryusage.asp

 

Primary Nickel
First traded on LME:                          1979
Current specification introduced:  April 1979
World production:                              1,138,600 tonnes per annum (2001)

In the mid 18th century, primary nickel was first isolated as a separate metal. Prior to this, it was found in copper mines and thought to be an unsmeltable copper ore. Primary nickel can resist corrosion and maintains its physical and mechanical properties even when placed under extreme temperatures. When these properties were recognised, the development of primary nickel began. It was found that by combining primary nickel with steel, even in small quantities, the durability and strength of the steel increased significantly as did its resistance to corrosion. This partnership has remained and the production of stainless steel is now the single largest consumer of primary nickel today. This highly useful metal is also used in the production of many different metal alloys for specialised use.

 

World nickel production
Region %
America 24
Asia 19
Europe 37
Oceania 15
Africa 5
Total 100
Industrial consumption
Industry %
Stainless steel 65
Non-ferrous alloys 12
Other steel alloys 10
Electroplating 8
Others inc. chemicals 5
Total 100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Aluminum

http://www.lme.co.uk/aluminium_industryusage.asp

 

High Grade Primary Aluminium
First traded on LME:                          1978
Current specification introduced:  June 1987
World production:                              24,520,900 tonnes per annum (2001)

Despite being the most prolific metal on earth, aluminium only began to be used extensively once an inexpensive method for distilling it by means of electrolytic reduction was discovered in the mid 19th century. It is extremely light, pliable, has high conductivity and is resistant to rust. Little wonder then that it has become the most extensively used metal and more recently the largest contract traded on the LME.

World primary aluminium production
Region %
America 29
Asia 24
Europe 33
Oceania 9
Africa 5
Total 100
Industry consumption
Industry %
Transport 26
Packaging 22
Construction 22
Machinery 8
Electrical 8
Consumer durables 7
Other 7
Total 100

 

 

 

Copper

http://www.lme.co.uk/copper_industryusage.asp

 

Copper Grade A
First traded on LME:                          1877
Current specification introduced:  April 1986
World production:                              15,544,500 tonnes per annum (2001)

Copper was the first mineral that man extracted from the earth and along with tin gave rise to the Bronze Age. As the ages and technology progressed the uses for copper increased. With the increased demand, exploration for the metal was extended throughout the world laying down the foundations for the industry as we know it today. Copper is an excellent conductor of electricity, as such one of its main industrial usage is for the production of cable, wire and electrical products for both the electrical and building industries. The construction industry also accounts for copper's second largest usage in such areas as pipes for plumbing, heating and ventilating as well as building wire and sheet metal facings.

World copper production
Region %
America 41
Asia 31
Europe 21
Oceania 4
Africa 3
Total 100
Industrial consumption
Industry %
Building 48
Electrical 17
Gen. engineering 16
Light engineering 8
Transport 7
Other 4
Total 100

 

 

 

Zinc

http://www.lme.co.uk/zinc_industryusage.asp

 

Special High Grade Zinc
First traded on LME:                          1915
Current specification introduced:  September 1988
World production:                               9,136,700 tonnes per annum (2001)

Zinc is commonly mined as a co-product with standard lead and both metals have growing core markets for their consumption. For zinc, the main market is galvanising, which accounts for almost half its modern-day demand. Zinc’s electropositive nature enables metals to be readily galvanised, which gives added protection against corrosion to building structures, vehicles, machinery and household equipment.

World zinc production
Region %
America 19
Asia 43
Europe 30
Oceania 6
Africa 2
Total 100
Industrial consumption
Industry %
Galvanising 47
Brass & bronze 19
Zinc alloying 14
Chemicals 9
Zinc semi-manufacturing 8
Misc 3
Total 100

 

 

Lead

http://www.lme.co.uk/lead_industryusage.asp

 

Standard Lead
First traded on LME:                          1903
Current specification introduced:  1968
World production:                               6,701,600 tonnes per annum (2001)

Being very soft and pliable and highly resistant to corrosion, Lead was ideal for use in plumbing as well as for the manufacture of pewter. In the early 20th century the automotive industry took off and new areas of consumption – batteries and petrol – created an enormous market. Storage batteries remain the main outlet but lead-free fuels have caused a decline in usage. Ironically, environmental issues have brought about new uses for the metal, particularly in the housing of power generation units to protect against electrical charges or dangerous radiations.

World lead production
Region %
America 33
Asia 33
Europe 28
Oceania 4
Africa 2
Total 100
Industrial consumption
Industry %
Batteries 71
Pigments & other compounds 12
Rolled & extruded products 7
Shot / ammunition 6
Cable sheathing 3
Alloys 1
Total 100

 

Tin

http://www.lme.co.uk/tin_industryusage.asp

 

Tin
First traded on LME:                          1877
Current specification introduced:  June 1989
World production:                              261,000 tonnes per annum (2001)

Tin, like copper, was one of the first metals mined and its excellent qualities and shiny finish made it a highly sought after commodity. Particularly liked for its fusion abilities in the making of alloys, notably bronze, and its non-toxic qualities, tin was soon traded in many parts of the world. Not surprisingly, it was traded on the LME from the market’s outset in 1877. Today it is still used in the production of bronze, pewter and die-casting alloys and, in modern engineering, to make tungsten more machineable. However, the largest uses for tin are for the production of solders and for tin plating (providing an attractive coating to iron and steel products).

 

 

World tin production
Region %
America 18
Asia 75
Europe 5
Oceania 1
Africa 1
Total 100
Industrial consumption
Industry %
Solders 32
Tin Plate 27
Others 17
Alloys 14
PC Stabilisers 6
Tinning 4
Total 100

 

 

 

 

 

Commoditization:   (marketing)

ergh...don't let that happen to me!

 

Having your product turned into a commodity: This is the fear of any business manager, and it is what people fight like crazy to stop from happening.   If your product or service stops being a value added one, and starts becoming a commodity, then :

 

1. Price competition is all that matters

2. Buyers will seek the lowest cost producer, supplier

 

If this happens to you....its time to go innovate and come up with a new strategy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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